Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 3.302181 3.493002 3.696127 3.929697 4.192461 4.480873 4.824109
2025-06-15 3.014112 3.271201 3.558887 3.908870 4.329198 4.826171 5.471887
2025-06-22 2.740921 3.028766 3.362602 3.786231 4.321875 4.995765 5.943193
2025-06-29 2.505597 2.805532 3.162785 3.631092 4.248131 5.066009 6.300064
2025-07-06 2.346054 2.658143 3.038969 3.553522 4.258975 5.244546 6.848684
2025-07-13 2.289606 2.631045 3.060045 3.661958 4.530706 5.834535 8.207157
2025-07-20 2.213140 2.571515 3.032399 3.699351 4.705109 6.315325 9.587274
2025-07-27 2.188255 2.575395 3.087040 3.855585 5.080170 7.217498 12.339482
2025-08-03 2.143517 2.548799 3.096419 3.945065 5.363823 8.047809 15.725903
2025-08-10 2.063077 2.468375 3.023444 3.900456 5.412503 8.433383 18.338460
2025-08-17 1.956170 2.346083 2.882891 3.737543 5.229348 8.277792 18.904269
2025-08-24 1.877195 2.258911 2.788307 3.640281 5.153868 8.350439 20.608273
2025-08-31 1.809489 2.190312 2.725389 3.603300 5.214147 8.836247 25.892724
2025-09-07 1.757442 2.141489 2.689126 3.607916 5.359725 9.622072 37.308641
2025-09-14 1.685251 2.060730 2.600364 3.516667 5.301105 9.846070 47.250383
2025-09-21 1.609960 1.972504 2.495836 3.390483 5.153899 9.767593 54.554923
2025-09-28 1.555489 1.912169 2.430939 3.328274 5.135017 10.098531 80.407376
2025-10-05 1.542350 1.911048 2.456991 3.428470 5.490637 11.944301 NaN
2025-10-12 1.515824 1.888785 2.448201 3.464577 5.710680 13.553058 NaN
2025-10-19 1.511851 1.899631 2.492593 3.604738 6.225475 17.377086 NaN
2025-10-26 1.495924 1.891461 2.505206 3.685145 6.614967 21.675879 NaN
2025-11-02 1.459558 1.850438 2.460786 3.646917 6.662219 23.720509 NaN
2025-11-09 1.406674 1.782321 2.368056 3.503596 6.374944 22.259304 NaN